After a solid round of NFL picks last week, the spreads attached to several Week 15 games are giving us reason to feel even better about our chances to nail our predictions this week. Never mind that such confidence when it comes to picking NFL games is often fools’ gold.

The Ravens, Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers opened as double-digit favorites over the Jets, Broncos, Bengals and Falcons, respectively, giving us some relatively easy picks. We also feel pretty good about the Saints, who opened as touchdown-plus favorites over the Colts, and the Seahawks, who are solid road favorites over the Panthers.

Patriot Flag Tshirt

As usual, though, the rest of the Week 15 schedule is stuffed with toss-up games that are bound to spoil any chance of a perfect week. They include a matchup between two annoyingly unpredictable AFC South teams.

Here are our Week 15 NFL picks straight up, all the way through the Monday night game in New Orleans. All odds are courtesy of SportsInsider.com.

MORE: Get the latest NFL odds & betting advice from Sports Insider

NFL picks, predictions for Week 15

  • New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens (-14 1/2)

Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, Fox/NFL Network/Amazon Prime Video

Somebody somewhere will pick the Jets and their seventh-ranked defense in terms of yards allowed per game to stun the heavily favored Ravens. But it won’t be here, because Baltimore has the league’s sixth-ranked defense in addition to its NFL-best scoring offense. Lamar Jackson and Co. will complete the season sweep of AFC East opponents in style as he breaks Michael Vick’s single-season QB rushing record.

Pick: Ravens 30, Jets 17

  • Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-4 1/2)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Bears, winners of three straight games, have been impressive in their playoff push with their resiliency on offense. This tough matchup in Green Bay, though, comes at a bad time for Chicago. The loss of Roquan Smith is bad news for its rush defense against Aaron Jones, and on the other side of the ball, the Bears will be too dependent on their inconsistent running game to keep things close into the fourth quarter. The Packers will get one step closer to the division title, and the Bears will fall to the brink of elimination.

Pick: Packers 24, Bears 20

  • Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-10)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Good news for Denver: Its offense is on a hot streak with Drew Lock being the spark. Bad news for Denver: Kansas City’s offense is even warmer, even after New England’s attempt to cool Patrick Mahomes and Co. last week. With the division title already in hand, the Chiefs are hungry to secure one of the top two seeds in the AFC playoffs. With their improving defense shutting down Lock and their offense benefiting from various mismatches, they’ll get closer to that goal this week.

Pick: Chiefs 27, Broncos 21

  • Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-3)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

This week’s AFC South toss-up of the week is a big one for both the division race and the wild-card race. Yet that doesn’t make these two confusing teams any less annoying to predict. Houston’s inexplicable flop against Denver last week combined with Tennessee’s domination of Oakland suggests the trends will continue and the Titans will replace the Texans in the playoff picture. Further, Tennessee has the better defense and is being fueled by MVP-caliber play on the part of Ryan Tannehill. But this streak has to end at some point, right? Right?

Pick: Texans 26, Titans 20

  • Seattle Seahawks (-6) at Carolina Panthers

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The NFL’s quietest rivalry unfortunately shouldn’t be much of a game as long as the Seahawks play to their strengths. Carolina hasn’t been able to stop the run all season, and even without Rashaad Penny, the ground game is Seattle’s ticket to a win Sunday and, eventually, a potential playoff run. If last week’s game is any indication, the Panthers’ post-Ron Rivera play over the last three weeks of the season will be ugly.

Pick: Seahawks 28, Panthers 17

  • New England Patriots (-10) at Cincinnati Bengals

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

New England is on to Cincinnati at the perfect time. Nothing can cure the Patriots’ struggles quite like a matchup against the NFL’s worst team. With that said, if Tom Brady and New England’s offense can’t get back on track this week, against a defense that allows 410.2 yards per game, the already-rising level of doubt surrounding their title chances will skyrocket.

Pick: Patriots 31, Bengals 14

  • Philadelphia Eagles (-6) at Washington Redskins

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

The Eagles have no chance to make the playoffs if they continue to play as poorly as they did against the Giants on Monday night, but that victory should keep them motivated to push for at least one more against a terrible division rival. Philadelphia is banged up, but so is Washington. Even with the receiver issues around him, Carson Wentz should find enough mismatches against the Redskins’ secondary to adequately compliment the running game and score enough points.

Pick: Eagles 24, Redskins 20

  • Miami Dolphins at New York Giants (-3 1/2)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Because the Bengals are so bad, the result of this game won’t necessarily impact the No. 1 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, but it’s a big one for the early draft order in general. If New York loses, it’ll continue to push Cincinnati for the top pick. (And it’s worth nothing the Bengals play the Dolphins in Week 16.) Both teams have shown some fight of late, but Miami has shown a little bit more.

Pick: Dolphins 27, Giants 20

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4) at Detroit Lions

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

Thanks in part to some favorable matchups, Tampa Bay is taking a three-game winning streak into Detroit as it clings to life in the NFC playoff picture. Chances are the Bucs will stay alive, because unless Matthew Stafford returns to put pressure on Tampa’s defense, Detroit doesn’t pose much of a threat. As long as Jameis Winston can overcome the loss of Mike Evans and avoid game-changing turnovers — neither of which is a given — the Bucs should be fine.

Pick: Buccaneers 27, Lions 23

  • Minnesota Vikings (-2 1/2) at Los Angeles Chargers

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

The Chargers ended their streak of heartbreaking losses in style with a blowout win in Jacksonville last week. That development won’t save their season, but it might impact how they approach this home game against the Vikings. LA comes in feeling good about itself and motivated to play spoiler against a Minnesota team clinging to its wild-card spot in the NFC. Powered by Dalvin Cook and the running game, though, the Vikings should produce just enough points to survive.

Pick: Vikings 23, Chargers 21

  • Jacksonville Jaguars at Oakland Raiders (-5 1/2)

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

Disappointing, once-promising AFC contender, meet disappointing, once-promising AFC contender. Both teams are on disheartening losing streaks, with the Jaguars already eliminated from playoff contention and the Raiders holding on for dear life. That carrot in front of Oakland will be the difference this week.

Pick: Raiders 24, Jaguars 17

  • Cleveland Browns (-2) at Arizona Cardinals

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS

Well, we know which late Sunday afternoon CBS game will be presented to the Oklahoma viewing market. The Sooner faithful will come for the Baker Mayfield vs. Kyler Murray matchup, but they will stay for the weekly circus that is the Cleveland Browns. This is a game Freddie Kitchens’ team should win as it tries to stay alive in the playoff picture, but its season has been defined by frustration and discombobulation. A crippling loss in Arizona would be fittingly frustrating and discombobulating.

Pick: Cardinals 26, Browns 23

  • Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers (-11)

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

This isn’t the matchup Falcons coach Dan Quinn needs right now as he tries to salvage his job — a road game against his former play-caller who happens to be coaching arguably the best team in the NFC. There will be no crash from the high of last week’s win in New Orleans for Kyle Shanahan’s team. The 49ers will take advantage of the Falcons’ struggling defense, and their pass rush will be all over Matt Ryan.

Pick: 49ers 28, Falcons 17

  • Los Angeles Rams at Dallas Cowboys (-1)

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox

The Cowboys have to stop their losing skid eventually, right? A home win over the Rams would be refreshing for a Dallas team that still leads the NFL in yards per game but has little to show for it in the standings. It also would be a massive boost ahead of what could amount to an NFC East championship game against the Eagles next week. In a prediction that’s 100 percent rooted in confirmation bias as our Super Bowl pick continues to struggle, we’ll assume the Cowboys can save their season against the team that eliminated them last year.

Pick: Cowboys 28, Rams 24

  • Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers (-1 1/2)

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

Mike Tomlin is getting coach of the year buzz for good reason considering how he has kept the Steelers on track for an improbable playoff push. Deserving of similar buzz is Sean McDermott, who has the Bills on the verge of 10 wins and legitimately pushing the Patriots in the AFC East standings. These teams are where they are in Week 15 thanks to their defenses, and statistically speaking, Buffalo’s unit has been slightly better. The QB issues will catch up to Pittsburgh, and Josh Allen will put on another impressive showing in front of a national TV audience. That Buffalo has the better rushing offense will help, too.

Pick: Bills 23, Steelers 20

  • Indianapolis Colts at New Orleans Saints (-8 1/2)

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

The Saints get an extra day this week to think about their heartbreaking loss to the 49ers. Good thing they’ll be distracted by the kind of film study that should revive their confidence. While the Colts aren’t far off from the Saints statistically, especially on defense, the records tell the tale of this tape. New Orleans, especially at home and still challenging for a top seed in the NFC playoffs, is by far the more trustworthy team.

Pick: Saints 34, Colts 20

Sporting News